Friday, November 18, 2011

Preview of Indiana Game

I'll keep this one short because it's a lot like the Minnesota game.  It's a game that the Spartans should win handily, but there's always the threat that they could take Indiana too lightly.   

Here are the numbers:

Indiana comes in with a record of 1-9, including losses to Ball State and North Texas.  This is a really bad football team that has been blown out in almost every game they have played.

Indiana is ranked a lowly 92nd on offense, scoring about 23 points a game.  Meanwhile MSU's defense is ranked 8th in the nation, allowing 16.5 points per game.  Honestly, MSU has a legitimate shot to hold Indiana scoreless, which would probably let them move up the rankings on total defense -- perhaps into the top 5. 

On defense, Indiana is even worse.  They have the 108th ranked defense, which allows approximately 36 points a game.  Meanwhile, MSU has the 61st ranked offense, scoring 27.6 points a game.  Honestly, this game gives the Spartans a chance to pad their offensive numbers and move up the rankings on total offense.

I haven't watched much of Indiana this season, except that I did witness them getting blown out by Wisconsin.  It is only one game, but it does appear that Indiana just doesn't have the athletes to play with the top B1G teams.  Of course, they almost beat Ohio State a couple of weeks ago, so there is always the possibility that Indiana will come up with something special or that MSU will take them lightly, and that consequently, MSU will suffer an absolutely heartbreaking loss.  The probabilities of that happening, however, are relatively low.  This is the last home game for many seniors, so I expect MSU to be sufficiently ready to win, though they may not be sufficiently ready to completely blow out Indiana.

Final score:  MSU 31  Indiana 13

As everyone is well aware, a victory against Indiana and a loss by Nebraska to Michigan would turn the Spartans into champions of the Legends division.  I for one will be hoping that this scenario plays out.  I would like MSU to clinch the division this Saturday in large part because I am nervous about how the Spartans will do against Northwestern, the following week.

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