Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Why Jim Bollman Could Work as OC

Overall, I think we're going to have to wait and see what we have with Jim Bollman.  But here are some reasons this move makes a lot of sense.

I have noticed for a while that MSU has been moving towards replicating Jim Tressel's complete blueprint - stout defense and adequate pro-style offense that relies on a mobile quarterback - and hiring Jim Bollman may have completed that transition. Jim Tressel always had the stout defense, but he didn't fully move to mobile quarterbacks until Troy Smith in 2004.  Smith was so successful that after he left, Tressel clearly decided to go all in on very mobile quarterbacks - Terrelle Pryor and Braxton Miller.
 
MSU already has the stout defense. It also runs a pro-style offense.  All that's left to do now is switch to the mobile quarterbacks. Well, the talent is already headed in that direction - the Spartans' last 3 quarterback recruits are all quite mobile, and the newer the recruit the faster the recruit. And now with Jim Bollman, it appears the coaching staff is headed in that direction.  Bollman has worked extensively with running quarterbacks, including Smith, Pryor, and Miller.  

Rumor is that Bollman was only in full control as offensive coordinator in 2011, after Tressel was fired. Still, he likely picked up a lot of knowledge about running quarterbacks and he is credited with accelerating Braxton Miller's development during his freshman year. Makes you wonder if Bollman's hiring is signaling that Dantonio is really keen on developing Damion Terry as soon as possible.   

In the end, there are things to worry about, but I'm focusing on the positives. I'm going to be hoping that Bollman's experience with running quarterbacks fits what MSU is trying to do like a glove and that this leads to unbelievable offensive productivity.

Friday, February 8, 2013

Thoughts on 2013 Recruiting Class

Unfortunately, I don't have time these days to write up detailed posts about each recruit the Spartans bring in.  But I do still want to take the time to write something brief about each recruit, now that signing day has passed.  At the very least, a post like this can help me better remember who the players are, and perhaps more importantly, I always like to go back and see what I predicted for the various recruits.

First, let me say that, overall, this is is a solid class.  I really don't think there are any players that I would consider "reach" players.  This class may not have as many 4-star recruits as we saw in 2009, but I think this may be the most athletic class of the Dantonio era.  With that, here are my quick thoughts on each player.

Offense


Damion Terry.  Most of Spartan nation is excited about this guy, and so am I.  He put up the big numbers in his senior year, but I'm more excited by his athleticism and skills.  He is the most athletic quarterback MSU has ever brought in, but the most exciting thing is that he has a strong, accurate arm.  The only thing that I can't evaluate from his videos is his decision making.  But I suspect it takes a high level of decision making ability to rack up the stats Terry had in his senior year.  So basically, I expect big things from Terry, though perhaps not until he is at least a redshirt freshman.

Delton Williams. This guy will do big things at MSU, but I just don't know where.  He would likely be an outstanding outside linebacker, but it sounds like he'll first get a shot at replacing LeVeon Bell at running back.  He has all the physical tools to succeed at running back, in fact, he looks faster than Bell and has the frame to put on about as much weight as Bell.  But there is not enough video to fully evaluate things like his vision and decision making.  We'll just have to wait and see what happens.

Gerald Holmes.  This guy looks ready to contribute as a freshman and will definitely compete to take Bell's place.  He appears to have put on more mass for his senior year and to have gained more athleticism.  He also shows good vision and a good set of moves.  If the O-line steps up next year, Holmes could have a good year as a freshman.

RJ Shelton.  I love Shelton-like running backs.  He's speedy, shifty, and as I wrote in my write-up of Shelton, he reminds me a little of Emmit Smith.  Unfortunately, if the O-line struggles, Shelton will likely struggle as much as MSU's other shifty backs have recently struggled.  Speed and moves are apparently not enough against B1G defenses.  You gotta have some blocking, or you gotta be LeVeon Bell.

Dennis Finley.  He was the only O-lineman taken in this class and he looks like he has all the physical tools to be a pretty good O-tackle.  He looks pretty raw, but fortunately, the Spartans will have considerable depth at tackle next year, so he should definitely be redshirted.  

Michael Geiger.  Obviously, he is a highly rated kicker.  If he lives up to expectations, we're golden.

Jay Harris.  He is an interesting prospect at receiver.  I don't know that MSU has ever had anyone like him.  He looks more like a running back than a receiver, and he runs like a running back after he's made the catch.  There are some interesting ways he could be used, but unfortunately (for Harris), he likely won't play for a while, considering MSU's depth at receiver.

Trey Kilgore.  He's not as explosive a receiver as Burbridge, but he looks pretty athletic and he has good size.  Unfortunately for Kilgore, MSU's depth at receiver probably means he won't contribute for at least a couple of years.  

Dylan Chmura.  This is one guy I know almost nothing about.  He is very tall, and Dantonio seems to like his strength and blocking ability.  But otherwise, I can't find any video on him.  Guess we'll have to wait and see.

Defense


Jon Reschke.  Everyone has him pegged to replace Max Bullough and I think that's the correct assessment.  Reschke actually looks like a better athlete than Bullough, so the only question is whether he'll be as smart.  From what I've seen and heard, it sounds like he will be.  So MSU looks set at middle linebacker for the next 4 years.

Shane Jones.  He looks very smart, which is what you always want in linebackers.  Unfortunately, I can't find any senior-year video of him, and as a junior he doesn't look as athletic as I would like.  I'm sure there's nothing to worry about, considering that he was just voted AP Division I Defensive Player of the Year for Ohio.  He and Reschke should elevate MSU's already-stellar linebacker play.

Demetrious Cooper.  I'm excited about his speed and athleticism.  He is clearly too thin for a defensive end at this point, so he will need to redshirt.  But I think he'll be having a significant impact by the time he is a sophomore.

James Bodanis.  Physically, he looks impressive.  He's huge and pretty explosive, and that's why I think he has a lot of upside and could turn out to be one of the steals of this class.  I'm hoping for the next Jerel Worthy, but if he turns out to be at least as good as Anthony Rashad White, that ain't bad.

Noah Jones.  I'm really excited about Jones.  His video makes you think of Jerel Worthy.  He anticipates the snap count well, and he is explosive.  This guy looks like a steal, but unfortunately, defensive tackles can take years to emerge, so we'll have to wait a while to see what we have with Jones.

Devyn Salmon.  He is very quick for a defensive tackle.  However, he needs to get much stronger. I saw one video where he was dominated by a stronger, bigger O-lineman.  If Salmon does get a lot stronger, he could have the quickness to do something special.  Like with Noah Jones, it will likely take a few years before we know what we have with Salmon.  

Jalyn Powell.  Physically, this guy has all the tools to be an elite safety or outside linebacker.  In the video I saw, he is the best athlete on the field and he is a hard hitter.  We'll have to see how the tactical side of his game develops, but MSU looks so set at the safety position, for years to come.

Justin Williams.  I'm pretty excited about this guy.  He may be the best athlete in this class.  He's obviously track-fast but he also looks very quick and fast on the field.  That means he will likely contribute in several ways.  Williams could turn into something special, but probably not until his third year or so.

Darian Hicks.  For a corner, I'm worried about his speed; he doesn't look like a 4.4 guy.  But he does have good height, and decent athleticism.  Most importantly, he seems to have the ability to find the ball quickly and to get in good position to compete for the ball as a result.  I wonder if that combination of skills won't ultimately land him at safety.  But then again, Dantonio is the king of recruiting good corners, and Hicks was one of the guys he most wanted for this position.  So I will defer to his judgement.

Sunday, December 30, 2012

Thoughts on TCU Game

I don't have much time to blog these days, but here are some brief thoughts on the BWW Bowl:

- The defense remains solid. If I had any frustrations, it's that they weren't perfect. But you just can't ask for more than what they gave.

- The offense showed some positive things, but overall, I'm worried about next year's offense.  A month of practice did not seem to lead to much improvement. Granted, they were playing a good defense. But the Spartan O is way too dependent on one star player, Le'Veon Bell, who may be leaving early for the NFL. The offensive futility was worrisome enough that I almost think there needs to be a "culture change." I'm practically talking about bringing in a new OC that can redirect the ship. Maybe the shift to more mobile quarterbacks will be enough. But right now I think it's safe to worry about next year's offense.

- I want Andrew Maxwell to succeed, I like the kid, but it looks like he will be fighting for his job next year. These days, you gotta be able to run as a quarterback. Connor Cook is no RGIII, but you could see that his mobility was making a difference. I really hope Maxwell will work on his speed over the coming months (you'd be surprised how much of a difference it can make to do a lot of sprinting and agility work), and I hope he makes a lot of progress in some other areas.

- The receivers are practically back to where they were at the start of the season. Too many drops. Some guys are going to have to step up.


Thursday, December 6, 2012

Saturday, November 24, 2012

Thoughts on Minnesota Game

Well, the game unfolded about how I expected -- in fact, I almost nailed the score (I predicted 27 to 10). The Spartan D did better than I expected and the O and the special teams were competent.  Gotta keep this short because of family issues.

Offense

Once they stopped messing around with the passing, the offense dominated Minnesota.

The O-line and the Bell-dozer were nearly unstoppable in the running game. The O-line is still struggling in the passing game, particularly because of the struggles at the tackle positions. France and Burkland are struggling with the speed rushers.

Maxwell and the receivers are still a work in progress. Their futility killed many drives.

Defense

I expected them to dominate and they did. They provided good pressure on the quarterback and the secondary played outstanding.

Special teams

Started off weak, but ended with a competent game.

Coaches

No significant problems. My only complaint is that they tried to pass too often when it was clear that Bell was unstoppable. The passing game is simply killing drives.

Upshot

It was a solid victory for MSU, but the same concerns remain. The passing game has not progressed enough throughout this season. That was not an issue today against a weak Minnesota team but it could be an issue in the bowl game. Man, I hope they make enormous progress before next season.

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Preview of Minnesota Game

Ahallrighty, folks. We come to the big one, what Dantonio calls a "program" game. Lose, and this season can be declared an unmitigated disaster. Lose, and we can comfortably declare this the kind of season that can cause much damage to what has been built in the last few years.  Win, and then win again in the bowl game, and this season can still be perceived as something slightly less than reasonable. Especially if MSU can finally play 2 complete games. I'm talking about a dominating defensive performance, coupled with competent offensive and special teams performances.

Unfulfilled weekly predictions of MSU victory have exhausted me, but this will the last one for a while, so here goes. MSU's D should be able to keep Minnesota's O under 13 points. Nay, Minnesota is scoring 22.4 points a game, so the Spartan D should actually be able to hold them under 10 points.

I have had a chance to calm down about the last game, so I can objectively say that the MSU offense is on the brink of putting it together. If not for the turnovers, last week, this team would have had the offensive explosion I predicted for them. Dare I, then, predict an explosion this week? Well, I'm relatively confident that they will move the ball very well. The o-line is looking better and better, Bell should have a good game, Dion Sims is back.  Maxwell and the receivers are not quite where you want them to be, but they're OK.

But, will they be able finish drives? I've been burned so many times this year than I'm now a little superstitious against predicting an offensive explosion. But at least on paper it looks like they will be able to finish drives and score quite a few points. I guess I'll go with that.

Final score: MSU 27  Minn 10

Saturday, November 17, 2012

Coaches and Maxwell Should be Watching Stanford

I'm watching the Stanford v. Oregon game and in it you can see the point I made in my post-game analysis about running quarterbacks. You have a redshirt freshman, Kevin Hogan, who looks like the next Andrew Luck. His ability to run with the ball has made a difference. The play on which he ran it for a touchdown is a play in which Maxwell would likely have thrown it away. The bottom line, for me, is that football (especially college football) is sloppy. A majority of the time, plays don't unfold as you design them. You gotta be able to adjust, and that's what running helps you do. Maxwell needs to use his legs a whole lot more, or the coaches need to consider putting in someone who can.

Update: Turns out that Oregon's quarterback, Marcus Mariota, is also a redshirt freshman. So there's another successful example of a running quarterback succeeding at an early age. Oh, and why not add Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M to that list.